Microfinance Focus June 30, 2011: Mobile financial services could serve a population of nearly 2 billion in developing countries according to a recent study by the Boston Consulting Group.
The report titled ‘The Socio-Economic Impact of Mobile Financial Services’ commissioned by the Telenor Group produces an analysis of mobile financial services in Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Serbia and Malaysia.
The study finds that the impact of mobile financial services ranges from a 20 percentage point increase in financial inclusion in Pakistan (from 21% to 41%) to a 5 percentage point increase in Malaysia (from 90% to 95%). The other three countries are likely to experience an impact of around 10-12 percentage points.
“MFS could accelerate economic growth by up to 5% in the case of India, where it helps fuel entrepreneurship and new business creation. GDP in Pakistan, Bangladesh and Serbia could be between 2-3% higher in 2020 as a result of MFS, while the impact on Malaysia is more modest, at around 0.3%, reflecting the smaller financial inclusion impact,” says the report.
It further adds that the additional growth would be associated with an increase in employment, creating up to 4 million additional jobs in India, as well as an increase in tax revenues for governments, spurred by the increase in economic activities.
The report also explains that MFS will help reduce income inequality by increasing opportunities for the poorest segments of society to experience the benefits of financial services, and hence mitigate income and expenditure volatility.
“In addition to a reduction in measured inequality, MFS brings many other important benefits within reach, in particular, education and healthcare, for example, by providing access to insurance to help mitigate the impact of unexpected shocks. These will in turn have critical long-term impact on development, especially rural development,” says the report.
The report concludes that MFS has the potential to be a powerful tool for economic and social development for all the 5 countries mentioned in the report. For such potential to be realized, multiple elements must be established. And finally, regulators have to create a supportive environment that manages risk but also makes room for flexibility and innovation as the MFS ecosystem evolves.